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Property market trends will be clearer by September

Damon Ho

Stepping into July, the real estate market is still sluggish, first-hand residential projects in the remote areas promoted by third-tier developers are only available for sale. It will not get good sales records by boosting sales of subprime new residential units in the bearish market. In the secondary market, those sold low-price immigration units spread over the third and fourth-tier housing estates. In view of these news, the landlords will certainly be shocked.

The half-frozen property market has dragged down the transaction volumes, but in terms of property prices, the property price index is still fluctuating within a narrow range, and it is estimated that the development of property market will have a clearer path by September. 

The solid foundation of the Hong Kong property market is mainly because 70% of second-hand properties are wholly owned by landlords. Although the market condition is worse, they still have not much financial pressure to adjust down the listings price.

Recently, the surge of immigration property listings is mostly because those properties owners must be sold before September so that they can arrange their children to attend new semester in UK. Therefore, if the number of low-priced immigration listings being digested, the property market will return to normal. 

Hong Kong's latest unemployment rate fell to 2.9%, inflation rate was only 1.9%, the annual real economic growth rate will rise to between 3.5 and 5.5%. Banking, accounting, and other industries must raise salaries to hire skillful workers. By contrast, the unemployment rate of young people aged 16 to 30 has skyrocketed to 20% in mainland China. Hong Kong shows a strong competitive advantage over the first-tier cities in China.

In addition, the government has approved the visa of 50,000 skillful workers through quality migrant admission scheme to Hong Kong in the first half of this year, and it is estimated that the pace of approval in the second half year will certainly be accelerated. These newcomers have a strong demand for leasing house. As a result, the rental return rate has been stabilized at 2.9%. Rents have risen steadily, and property prices will also be benefit. After September, there will be no bull market, but a mild recovery will be there. 

 
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Hongkong Land’s Centricity Flexflexible office office space, reported 90% occupancy of its 25,000-square feet workspace.

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At the same time, the S&P 500 index has risen over 18% this year, most recently buoyed by cooler-than-expected inflation readings and strong second-quarter earnings reports from both big and regional banks. The broad-based index this week touched its highest level so far this year.

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A street-level shop on Electric Road in North Point was sold for HK$18.8 million at an average price of HK$37,600 per square foot.

The vendor is investor So Siu-yung, who has overseen a 57-percent appreciation in price of the property in just six months.

The shop is being occupied by Luck Store at HK$40,000 per month, an expected return of 2.3 percent.

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From April to May, the government also posted an expenditure of $124.1b and revenue of $52.2b.

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