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Purchasing a residential unit one year later will save you ten years of working

Damon Ho

Since the border reopening early this year, Hong Kong residents have been visiting Shenzhen in the weekend to enjoy low-priced food and beverages. This popular trend has transformed Hong Kong people's lifestyle now and then. This budget-conscious individuals are also like to participate free of charge touring the showroom of new premises. Part of them finally decided to purchase in these new nice-decorative homes.

Until recently, there have been numerous reports of unfinished real estate projects in China, resulting in domestic investors not eager to enter the market in recent months. Due to not much domestic buyers, mainland developers have turned their marketing targets to Hong Kong citizens. Therefore, the large-scale marketing campaign has been launched since the earlier of this year.

The writer had issued an article earlier in mid-March of this year, revealing that the residential users should prefer renting rather than purchasing. However, one of the writer's friends did not appreciate the implication of this article. He bought a RMB two million luxury apartment in Zhongshan three months ago. When this deal was completed, he even stated that he could purchase a luxury house with a golf course view for the cost of a parking space in Hong Kong. Once again, he said, “What more can he ask for?” 

At present, a large number of developers had been offering price reductions in various projects on various districts of Zhongshan. The price cut range was between 

thirty to fifty per cent. Unfortunately, the similar units of my friend’s newly purchased in the same estate fell in the price cutting list. In addition, the price cut was up to 50%.

When the writer heard this news, I really had nothing to say. My friend's unit had devalued RMB one million in a split second. When we met again in a banquet a few days ago, my friend was very embarrassed. We attempt to talk about the matter other than China property market.

In the past, mainland developers can only reduce the sales price at the level specified by the government. However, the relevant restrictions have been lifted recently. With the new set rule, developers in Zhongshan rushed to launch projects at lower prices. The price reduction was unprecedentedly high. Local people even made a joke by saying to purchase a residential unit one year later will save you ten years of working. Does this price adjustment of the domestic property market have been completed? The writer does not have a clue. No matter what, let us wait and see until next year.

 
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1. HK ranked seventh in foreign exchange reserves 2023-10-14 14:15:05

Hong Kong ranked seventh in the world for foreign exchange reserves in the second quarter with HK$3.13t (US$400.5b), exceeding ninth-placer Singapore with forex reserves of around HK$2.48t (US$316.7b), according to a report commissioned by Forex.com.

China held the largest forex reserves of all the countries evaluated with HK$24.97t (US$3.19t). This nearly triple the reserves held by Japan in the same period with HK$8.76t (US$1.1t), ranking second globally. China showed the lowest volatility by rate of change, undergoing the lowest decrease by -4.12%.

2. valuations continue on downward slope 2023-10-14 23:18:04

Low prices for new homes and a sluggish secondary market sent bank valuations for flats down by up to 4.4 percent last month.

Of 20 housing estates tracked, 16 saw valuations drop by 0.67 to 4.4 percent month on month, with only two recording gains.

While the number of estates that saw declines in valuations eased slighly from the 17 in August, the magnitude of the drops was even deeper.

The worst decline was for an 852-square-foot home at Whampoa Garden, whose valuation was cut for the fourth consecutive month by 4.4 percent to HK$11.09 million from HK$11.6 million in August.

4. Landlords taken measures to compete tenants 2023-10-17 09:26:45

Landlords have taken proactive measures to compete for tenants as demand for office space in Singapore continues to weaken.

According to JLL, more occupiers in Singapore are becoming wary and cost-conscious amidst the prolonged downbeat economic environment. 

In response, landlords have begun subdividing large spaces, providing fitted spaces, and adjusting their rental expectations, amongst others.

Data from JLL showed that rents dropped 0.3% QoQ in 3Q23. In the same quarter, CBD investment-grade office rents fell for the first time in 10 quarters.

“Tenants took advantage of the soft leasing market to negotiate for more favourable rental terms,” JLL said.

5. Gov registered 29 lease modifications in 3Q23 2023-10-18 21:26:10

The government registered 29 lease modifications in 3Q23. Of these, nine are land exchanges and one is a lot extension.

The other ten transactions involve technical changes with no premium.

According to the Lands Department, 12 of the land transactions are in Hong Kong Island, 16 are in Kowloon, and 11 are in the New Territories.

The land transactions realised a total land premium of $4.8b.

Currently, there are no private treaty grants registered in 3Q2023.

6. Hong Kong’ GDPwill be weaker 2023-10-19 17:09:30

After slipping back to contraction territory in 2Q23, experts believe Hong Kong’s full-year gross domestic product (GDP) will be weaker than expected.

UOB forecast that the city’s economy will grow 4.2% in 2023 which is at the lower end of the revised official forecast of 4.0% to 5.0%

For 3Q23 and 4Q23, UOB expects a 5.6% YoY and 6.9% YoY growth, respectively.

“While the near-term outlook remains challenging, we see more upside to Hong Kong’s outlook next year but are keeping our forecast at 2.5 per cent for 2024 for the time being,” said Stephen Li, head of Global Markets, Greater China at UOB.

7. Hong Kong unemployment rate remaining at 2.8% 2023-10-20 15:32:53

Hong Kong reported a low seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in the third quarter, remaining at 2.8% in the period of July-September 2023, the same inthr June-August period.

Data from the Census and Statistics Department also showed that the underemployment rate remained unchanged at 1% at the same period.

The department said the changes in the unemployment rate, not seasonally adjusted, and underemployment rate during the June-August and July-September in different industry sectors varied, “but the magnitudes were generally not large.”