No. of view: 1457    Reply: 7

Highly leveraged lending strategies finally come to end

Damon Ho

Since first quarter of this year, the border reopening between China and Hong Kong boosts the recovery of the economy, Hong Kong people have also begun to return to neighboring city Shenzhen to enjoy the leisure travelling. They pursuit high price-performance ratio’s consumption, and spend on body massage, local cuisine & special drinks. Unlike the past mode of consumption, they showed less interests to inspect the showrooms of the newly residential projects.

In fact, the investors who are optimistic about the domestic property market have already entered the market, and those who have not yet entered the market will not enter the market in near future. Smart investors who stick to the national policy of residential premises not for speculating, will not re-enter the domestic property market in next few years. In this scenario, the border reopening policy had no positive effect to the property market.

Currently, many domestic private residential enterprises have been suffering the shortage of cash flow and face the defaults of corporate debts. The on-going projects are also lacking working capital to complete the construction work on schedule. Consequently, these residential premises may turn into uncompleted building and cannot be handed over to their clients on the target completion date. Those facts tell that highly leveraged lending strategies finally come to end. 

The fall in domestic property prices has produced a negative wealth effect, coupled with high unemployment rate, China's middle class have suddenly decreased, and overall consumption power has not been as strong as before. At present, those who come to Hong Kong are neither able to buy properties nor buy high-priced consumer goods. These kinds of consumption power have limited effect on boosting the local retail industry. 

Hong Kong developers have always been conservative, with borrowing ratios below 50% of net asset value, so even in today's inactive market, there will still be no disruption in capital flows. 

The current challenge of the property market is that Fed rate hike cycle is still not over, which has driven the potential buyers to become overly cautious, and they have repeatedly delayed the decision to enter the market, resulting in a significant reduction in transactions. 

Following the government relaxed the property mortgage policy earlier, it can take advantage of the situation to take back the real estate market’s spicy measures that have lost their practical function. This will strengthen the confidence of the public to re-enter the market. With the unemployment rate as low as 2.9%, wages rising steadily, high demands for home ownership, and a consistently high savings rate among Hong Kong people, the property market is expected to gradually return to normal with appropriate policy support from the government.

 
I want to leave a message
Nickname
Message
/ Opinion
Captcha
 
Member Login
Login ID / Nickname
Password
1. Property sales drop in July 2023-08-05 16:10:29

The property segment saw lower sales in July, with 4,426 building units sold.

According to the Land Registry, the total sale in July was 7.3% lower than the June record and 11.4% lower year-on-year.

Of those sold, 3,065 were residential units. The number of sold residential units was down 15.2%  from June and 16.5% lower than July 2022.

As the number of sold residential units dropped, the total consideration of residential units also decreased in July, falling 20.9% MoM and 2`.5% YoY to $26.6b.

2. professionals are ready in searching new jobs 2023-08-06 22:42:47

Hong Kong professionals who are devastated by the macroeconomic situation are now taking steps in their career plans, a Robert Walters report showed.

It also showed that 74% of professionals are taking steps to become ready in searching for another job. Less than 70% of workers' career cushion due to internal changes within their business (29%), the lack of job security from their company (22%), and turbulent economic conditions (17%).

John Mullally, Managing Director of Robert Walters Hong Kong said employees are now taking measures to secure their future career interests and earning prospects.

3. Hong Kongers donominate UK res. Market 2023-08-07 11:57:21

Amongst all foreign nationals, Hong Kongers have the most valuable property portfolio across England and Wales, data from Benham and Reeves showed.

According to the London-based property agency, the value of Hong Kongers’ property portfolio is £10.8b.

“Foreign-owned homes are worth a staggering £78.8bn in today’s market and it’s Hong Kong homeowners who account for the largest proportion of market activity in this respect,” Director of Benham and Reeves, Marc von Grundherr, said.

4. Hk sill face recruitment woes 2023-08-08 11:39:29

A majority of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) (88%) in Hong Kong who plan to hire more talent still face recruitment woes, data from the Hong Kong Productivity Council (HKPC) showed.

As a solution, three in 10 SMEs plan to hire non-local talents. Of those who plan to hire non-local talent, 90% would recruit from the Mainland.

Apart from seeking non-local talent, SMEs also plan to outsource vendors (25%) or use artificial intelligence (AI) to perform manual tasks (14%).

5. A new icon in Kwun Tong 2023-08-09 12:07:57

Located in the heart of East Kowloon CBD in Kwun Tong, KTR 350, a brand-new commercial development by LAWSGROUP, is an architectural marvel showcasing a holistic approach to sustainability and user-friendliness.

Amidst a sea of gridded, nondescript industrial buildings lining Kwun Tong Road, KTR 350 stands out with its sleek, modern facade. The cylindrical and elliptical form, which takes cues from LAWSGROUP’s semi-century apparel manufacturing heritage, emulates a wool yarn in a spun and takes in a stunning vista of the Kwun Tong waterfront.

6. Talent scheme are driving up rental market 2023-08-10 11:13:47

Mainland students and professionals coming in through Hong Kong's talent scheme are driving up the city's rental market, with Novo Land in Tuen Mun seeing over 100 deals last month.

Novo Land, a project of Sun Hung Kai Properties (0016), recorded 105 rental transactions last month at an average rent of HK$33 per square foot, according to Centaline Property Agency.

Of course, this is coming as mainland students race to lock in their accommodation arrangements with just three more weeks to go before the academic semester begins.

7. Hk needs 50000 or more elderly places per year 2023-08-11 17:33:05

The 30,000 to 40,000 elderly residential places Hong Kong is building every year will not be enough to house the city’s growing ageing population which is expected to hit 2.2 million by 2032.

For Hong Kong to avoid a shortage of suitable elderly places, it must build around 6,000 more units every year for the next 10 years, according to Tom Parker, institutional clients director of Value and Risk Advisory at JLL Hong Kong.